Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.528101 3.917326 4.339739 4.833543 5.396621 6.020600 6.767031
2025-06-08 2.944589 3.459314 4.057454 4.808798 5.734219 6.845647 8.294889
2025-06-15 2.665392 3.266337 4.001707 4.978178 6.256429 7.894845 10.189929
2025-06-22 2.388617 3.023566 3.832252 4.954064 6.496024 8.580345 11.680051
2025-06-29 2.163973 2.813643 3.669111 4.900451 6.665238 9.163749 13.081990
2025-07-06 1.914659 2.542480 3.391232 4.649484 6.514876 9.257922 13.754176
2025-07-13 1.792912 2.431806 3.318826 4.674033 6.754557 9.937700 15.406087
2025-07-20 1.707921 2.363296 3.296447 4.763852 7.094049 10.800434 17.472217
2025-07-27 1.637322 2.308177 3.286189 4.866619 7.458567 11.738998 19.805463
2025-08-03 1.565139 2.244010 3.255238 4.930802 7.762325 12.606230 22.142228
2025-08-10 1.492398 2.172880 3.206644 4.959551 8.005435 13.391646 24.446195
2025-08-17 1.389847 2.048517 3.065008 4.820962 7.941888 13.612718 25.660551
2025-08-24 1.311189 1.958180 2.973712 4.763724 8.024718 14.130097 27.610836
2025-08-31 1.244923 1.883309 2.902147 4.734120 8.154655 14.754405 29.910045
2025-09-07 1.221386 1.875550 2.940020 4.899350 8.665799 16.199471 34.343848
2025-09-14 1.165522 1.810771 2.876802 4.875523 8.807670 16.903504 37.172935
2025-09-21 1.109366 1.741988 2.801797 4.822900 8.885389 17.479005 39.800078
2025-09-28 1.025919 1.622435 2.631084 4.576679 8.544489 17.093637 39.866595
2025-10-05 0.991580 1.585098 2.602948 4.600765 8.766763 18.001970 43.591961
2025-10-12 0.969208 1.567065 2.607822 4.688887 9.133498 19.295057 48.699112
2025-10-19 0.949870 1.553111 2.618892 4.789705 9.538383 20.739240 54.624322
2025-10-26 0.926321 1.530234 2.611801 4.852667 9.865074 22.039698 60.464247
2025-11-02 0.899554 1.500042 2.588969 4.880868 10.114657 23.181005 66.112412